Trade Analysis

Redraft PPR Superflex/2QB OFF TE Prem OFF Package Adj. ON

Overall Assessment

Very close, but no

Wow, this is an extremely fair trade and you'd be acquiring the most valuable asset in the trade in Nico Collins. That usually means you should go ahead with the deal, but we're going to say don't make this trade because we still ever-so-slightly prefer the overall value you'd be giving up.

Keep in mind, while we wouldn't do this trade in a vacuum, if you have other good options at QB and have a big need at WR, then it might make sense to go through with it.

Giving 

Total Value
112.4
Lamar Jackson
qb • Ravens
$45.7
Christian Watson
wr • Packers
$34.7
2026 #1.08
pick • Rookie Pick
$32.0

Value Gap: 1.5

EVEN Giving: 112.4 Getting: 110.9

Giving Pros & Cons

Lamar Jackson
qb • Ravens
45.7
Missed several games to injury in 2025, but still had solid numbers. 21 TDs vs 7 INTs, and a 64% completion percentage.
Rushing prowess makes him incredibly valuable. He's basically a QB and RB at one position.
Battled both hamstring and back issues last season, which could linger into 2026.
New head coach, so it could take Jackson some time to get comfortable in a new system.
Christian Watson
wr • Packers
34.7
Average career-high 2.28 yards per route run in 2025, after returning from a torn ACL in 2024.
When healthy, he is an elite, explosive playmaker (4.36 speed with an impressive catch radius).
Crowded WR room may make consistent targets hard to come by.
2026 #1.08
pick • Rookie Pick
32.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.

Getting Pros & Cons

Nico Collins
wr • Texans
50.5
High upside WR1/WR2 has strong connection with CJ Stroud.
Stroud has regressed over past 2 seasons. If that continues, it could limit Collins' production.
Patrick Mahomes
qb • Chiefs
31.9
Despite his serious late season injury, he is targeting a Week 1 return in 2026. Time will tell.
May not run as much as he has in the past, but remains an elite passer with elite football IQ.
Offense was underwhelming in 2025 and lacked explosiveness. Mahomes had an uncharacteristic 11 INTs.
Recovering from major ACL & LCL injury suffered late in 2025 season, so timeline to return AND be effective is uncertain.
Tyler Allgeier
rb • Cardinals
28.5
Signed with the Cardinals and will compete with James Conner and Trey Benson for secondary touches behind Jeremiyah Love.
YPC dipped to 3.6 last season, which was lowest of his career.

Chance the other team accepts

47%

Other team's likely reaction

Giving Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Lamar Jackson
qb • Ravens
45.7
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
415
COMP
275
YD
3298
TD
28
INT
10
Rushing
ATT
127
YD
794
TD
5
Points
STD
386
PPR
386
2026 Schedule
Week 1
@IND
Week 2
vNO
Week 3
vDAL
Week 4
vTEN
Week 5
@ATL
Week 6
@CLE
Week 7
vCIN
Week 8
@BUF
Week 9
vJAX
Week 10
vLAC
Week 11
@CAR
Week 12
@HOU
Week 13
BYE
Week 14
vTB
Week 15
@PIT
Week 16
vCLE
Week 17
@CIN
Week 18
vPIT
Christian Watson
wr • Packers
34.7
Projections for 2026
Receiving
TAR
85
REC
61
YD
804
TD
6
Rushing
ATT
1
YD
10
TD
0
Points
STD
117
PPR
178
2026 Schedule
Week 1
@MIN
Week 2
@NYJ
Week 3
vATL
Week 4
@TB
Week 5
vCHI
Week 6
vDAL
Week 7
@DET
Week 8
vCAR
Week 9
@NE
Week 10
vMIN
Week 11
BYE
Week 12
@LAR
Week 13
@NO
Week 14
vBUF
Week 15
vMIA
Week 16
@CHI
Week 17
vHOU
Week 18
vDET
2026 #1.08
pick • Rookie Pick
32.0

Getting Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Nico Collins
wr • Texans
50.5
Projections for 2026
Receiving
TAR
133
REC
92
YD
1241
TD
8
Rushing
ATT
0
YD
0
TD
0
Points
STD
172
PPR
264
2026 Schedule
Week 1
vBUF
Week 2
vCIN
Week 3
@IND
Week 4
vDAL
Week 5
@TEN
Week 6
vJAX
Week 7
vNYG
Week 8
BYE
Week 9
@LAC
Week 10
@CLE
Week 11
vIND
Week 12
vBAL
Week 13
@PIT
Week 14
@WAS
Week 15
vJAX
Week 16
@PHI
Week 17
@GB
Week 18
vTEN
Patrick Mahomes
qb • Chiefs
31.9
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
559
COMP
375
YD
4111
TD
28
INT
12
Rushing
ATT
66
YD
328
TD
3
Points
STD
368
PPR
368
2026 Schedule
Week 1
vDEN
Week 2
vIND
Week 3
@MIA
Week 4
@LVR
Week 5
BYE
Week 6
vLAC
Week 7
@SEA
Week 8
@DEN
Week 9
vNYJ
Week 10
@ATL
Week 11
vARZ
Week 12
@BUF
Week 13
@LAR
Week 14
@CIN
Week 15
vNE
Week 16
vSF
Week 17
@LAC
Week 18
vLVR
Tyler Allgeier
rb • Cardinals
28.5
Projections for 2026
Rushing
ATT
141
YD
631
TD
4
Receiving
TAR
19
REC
17
YD
118
TD
0
Points
STD
99
PPR
116
2026 Schedule
Week 1
@LAC
Week 2
vSEA
Week 3
@SF
Week 4
@NYG
Week 5
vDET
Week 6
@LAR
Week 7
vDEN
Week 8
@DAL
Week 9
@SEA
Week 10
vLAR
Week 11
@KC
Week 12
vWAS
Week 13
vPHI
Week 14
BYE
Week 15
vNYJ
Week 16
@NO
Week 17
vLVR
Week 18
vSF
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