Trade Analysis

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Overall Assessment

Yes, by all means

You'd be giving up what we feel is the best asset in the trade (Joe Burrow), which in general you want to avoid. However, in this case we like the value you're getting back enough to make the deal.

Giving 

Total Value
88.8
Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
$63.8
2026 #1.11
pick • Rookie Pick
$25.0

Getting 

Total Value
104.8
Caleb Williams
qb • Bears
$53.8
2026 #1.02
pick • Rookie Pick
$51.0

Giving Pros & Cons

Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
63.8
Once he game back from injury last year, he was very good over the last 6 weeks of the season.
IF he can stay healthy, still has two great WRs in Chase and Higgins so production should be plentiful and consistent.
Continued poor offensive line play and yet another serious injury makes his injury risk more concerning than ever.
2026 #1.11
pick • Rookie Pick
25.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.

Getting Pros & Cons

Caleb Williams
qb • Bears
53.8
Should continue improving under head coach Ben Johnson, who is a great offensive mind.
After a tough rookie season, Williams made huge strides in 2025, leading the Bears to a division title.
Inconsistency remains an issue that will need to be worked on in order to take the next step.
Often holds the ball too long, which results in bad sacks or hero-ball throws that sometimes end badly.
2026 #1.02
pick • Rookie Pick
51.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.

Chance the other team accepts

29%

Other team's likely reaction

Giving Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
63.8
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
561
COMP
388
YD
4199
TD
32
INT
9
Rushing
ATT
40
YD
155
TD
1
Points
STD
359
PPR
359
2026 Schedule
Week 1
TBD
Week 2
TBD
Week 3
TBD
Week 4
TBD
Week 5
TBD
Week 6
TBD
Week 7
TBD
Week 8
TBD
Week 9
TBD
Week 10
TBD
Week 11
TBD
Week 12
TBD
Week 13
TBD
Week 14
TBD
Week 15
TBD
Week 16
TBD
Week 17
TBD
Week 18
TBD
2026 #1.11
pick • Rookie Pick
25.0

Getting Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Caleb Williams
qb • Bears
53.8
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
571
COMP
360
YD
4089
TD
25
INT
8
Rushing
ATT
67
YD
401
TD
1
Points
STD
351
PPR
351
2026 Schedule
Week 1
TBD
Week 2
TBD
Week 3
TBD
Week 4
TBD
Week 5
TBD
Week 6
TBD
Week 7
TBD
Week 8
TBD
Week 9
TBD
Week 10
TBD
Week 11
TBD
Week 12
TBD
Week 13
TBD
Week 14
TBD
Week 15
TBD
Week 16
TBD
Week 17
TBD
Week 18
TBD
2026 #1.02
pick • Rookie Pick
51.0

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