Trade Analysis

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Overall Assessment

Extremely fair, but no

This is an extremely close deal, but you'd be unloading the best asset in the trade (Joe Burrow) and not getting quite enough value back for us to recommend pulling the trigger on it.

Giving 

Total Value
121.8
Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
$63.8
2026 #1.04
pick • Rookie Pick
$44.0
Roster Spot
 
Roster Spot
 

Getting 

Total Value
121.4
Trevor Lawrence
qb • Jaguars
$42.5
Brian Thomas Jr.
wr • Jaguars
$34.9
2026 #1.12
pick • Rookie Pick
$23.0
2026 #2.01
pick • Rookie Pick
$21.0

Value Gap: 0.4

EVEN Giving: 121.8 Getting: 121.4

Giving Pros & Cons

Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
63.8
Once he game back from injury last year, he was very good over the last 6 weeks of the season.
IF he can stay healthy, still has two great WRs in Chase and Higgins so production should be plentiful and consistent.
Continued poor offensive line play and yet another serious injury makes his injury risk more concerning than ever.
2026 #1.04
pick • Rookie Pick
44.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.

Getting Pros & Cons

Trevor Lawrence
qb • Jaguars
42.5
Elite physical traits and consistent willingness to run boosts his fantasy floor and ceiling.
Improved accuracy and decision-making in new HC Liam Coen's scheme in 2025.
It was less so last year, but he generally struggles with consistency.
Brian Thomas Jr.
wr • Jaguars
34.9
Excellent athlete who hopes to get back to his rookie season form in 2026.
Production dipped badly in 2025 after an impressive rookie season in 2024.
Struggled with injuries and appeared to avoid contact on tough catches.
2026 #1.12
pick • Rookie Pick
23.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.
2026 #2.01
pick • Rookie Pick
21.0
Draft picks do not have pros or cons.

Chance the other team accepts

45%

Other team's likely reaction

Giving Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Joe Burrow
qb • Bengals
63.8
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
561
COMP
388
YD
4199
TD
32
INT
9
Rushing
ATT
40
YD
155
TD
1
Points
STD
359
PPR
359
2026 Schedule
Week 1
TBD
Week 2
TBD
Week 3
TBD
Week 4
TBD
Week 5
TBD
Week 6
TBD
Week 7
TBD
Week 8
TBD
Week 9
TBD
Week 10
TBD
Week 11
TBD
Week 12
TBD
Week 13
TBD
Week 14
TBD
Week 15
TBD
Week 16
TBD
Week 17
TBD
Week 18
TBD
2026 #1.04
pick • Rookie Pick
44.0

Getting Projections, Stats, Schedules & Future Matchup Ratings

Trevor Lawrence
qb • Jaguars
42.5
Projections for 2026
Passing
ATT
528
COMP
340
YD
3841
TD
23
INT
11
Rushing
ATT
51
YD
251
TD
3
Points
STD
327
PPR
327
2026 Schedule
Week 1
TBD
Week 2
TBD
Week 3
TBD
Week 4
TBD
Week 5
TBD
Week 6
TBD
Week 7
TBD
Week 8
TBD
Week 9
TBD
Week 10
TBD
Week 11
TBD
Week 12
TBD
Week 13
TBD
Week 14
TBD
Week 15
TBD
Week 16
TBD
Week 17
TBD
Week 18
TBD
Brian Thomas Jr.
wr • Jaguars
34.9
Projections for 2026
Receiving
TAR
92
REC
50
YD
723
TD
4
Rushing
ATT
5
YD
35
TD
0
Points
STD
100
PPR
150
2026 Schedule
Week 1
TBD
Week 2
TBD
Week 3
TBD
Week 4
TBD
Week 5
TBD
Week 6
TBD
Week 7
TBD
Week 8
TBD
Week 9
TBD
Week 10
TBD
Week 11
TBD
Week 12
TBD
Week 13
TBD
Week 14
TBD
Week 15
TBD
Week 16
TBD
Week 17
TBD
Week 18
TBD
2026 #1.12
pick • Rookie Pick
23.0
2026 #2.01
pick • Rookie Pick
21.0

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